In his best-seller “The Tipping Point,” Malcolm Gladwell talks about a popular theory among marketers: that there are certain rare, highly-connected people (also known as “influentials” or “tastemakers”) who have a disproportionate influence over what becomes popular. If your marketing can effectively target these people, they will trigger a trend and you will be wildly successful.
But in an article in this month’s Fast Company magazine, network-theory scientist Duncan Watts says this theory is wrong–and he has some rather persuasive evidence to support his position. He conducted numerous social experiments and found that trends are far more likely to be started by an “average” person than by one of the rare, highly-connected people. “If society is ready to embrace a trend, almost anyone can start one–and if it isn’t, then almost no one can,” Watts concludes. To succeed with a new product, it’s less a matter of finding the perfect hipster to “infect” and more a matter of gauging the public’s mood. Sure, there will always be a first mover in a trend. But since she generally stumbles into that role by chance, she is, in Watts’s terminology, an “accidental Influential.” We have also seen this in our research: someone who is influential in one area may not be influential in another.
What does this mean for marketers? Get a feel for what’s going on in your prospects’ lives–and not just the hip prospects. And consider what types of people are influential for your product and service and why they influence others. At Bureau West Marketing & Research, we like to conduct focus groups that mix advocates of a brand with those who are undecided. We ask the advocates to try to persuade the non-customers and listen closely to the discussion–both the persuasion points and the objections. This type of research reveals characteristics of a brand’s “evangelists” and also provides insights into creating the most effective marketing strategy.
We can design research to uncover which ideas will resonate with your prospects. Call Bureau West at (818) 752-7210.
Sources: Fast Company, February, 2008; Bureau West research