qualitative research

How to deal with low consumer sentiment

The economy has been improving, yet consumer sentiment remains surprisingly low: consumers think inflation is worse than it actually is, and they are worried about their future.  Younger people in particular are worried.

A recent McKinsey study on holiday shopping plans found:

  • Consumers are trading down – buying fewer and less expensive items.
  • They are looking for better prices and promotions (even more than usual).
  • They are less likely to splurge.

(One interesting twist: many Gen Z consumers plan to pay extra for next-day or same-day delivery.)

Here are some of McKinsey’s recommendations for marketers (which I think will apply beyond the holiday shopping season):

  • Inspire beyond promotions. As consumers grapple with whether to splurge or save this year, retailers have an opportunity to inspire their customers through storytelling. Focusing on the experiences that come with a purchase—such as crafting for the holidays, setting a beautiful table for family gatherings, or indulging in self-care—may motivate purchases more effectively than relying solely on discounts. To achieve this, retailers should tailor their communications by channel. For example, video content on social media that highlights the benefits of a product may resonate most deeply with consumers who are comparison shopping.
  • See demand generation through the “ninth inning.” As shopping journeys are becoming increasingly omnichannel, retailers should meet customers where they are to capture them throughout the holiday shopping season. Retailers are using new technologies, such as AI, and communities, such as store employees and micro-influencers, to deploy curated and personalized content online and at scale. In-store experiences can be bolstered by digital enhancements, such as augmented reality apps and cashierless shopping. Meanwhile, live stream shopping is also gaining traction, especially with younger consumers.
  • Personalize promotions for consumers. Leading retailers focus on targeted pricing and personalized offers to deepen customer loyalty, based on a comprehensive view of individual customers. This requires having a baseline understanding of when and what consumers buy and their sensitivity to price and promotions. As the holiday shopping window extends over a longer time period this season, a focus on driving customer loyalty is key. Targeted and personalized offers may also enable retailers to drive inventory sell-through while capturing incremental sales and profit.

Let’s find out what will resonate with your customers. Email me at info at bureauwest.com and we can discuss the best approach.

Sources: “US holiday shopping 2023: Consumer caution and retailer resilience,” McKinsey, 11/6/23; “Why are we so bummed about the economy?,” NPR Planet Money, 12/1/23

Posted on by Jay Zaltzman

Do better research

I just got back from the QRCA Worldwide Qualitative Research Conference in Lisbon – there was a lot of great content packed into 2.5 days, as well as a dinner at the amazing Palacio Conde d’Obidos, shown here.

It occurred to me that we were all there for the same reason: to learn ways to do better research.  And I think we did!  Here are a few of the highlights for me:

Lucy Foylan gave a great presentation about the differences between conducting research online and in-person.  Her agency, The Nursery in the UK, compared the two and they found the people were more likely to work to build consensus during in-person focus groups and more willing to disagree with each other during webcam groups.  While some might think that’s a reason to conduct all focus groups online, remember that consensus building also happens in real life.  Witnessing how participants persuade one another can provide valuable insights for our clients.  Depending on the objectives of the research, we might benefit from in-person groups, webcam groups, or a mix of both – where we examine the differences between the two.

There were several sessions about the impact of AI on qualitative research, including presentations by Daniel Berkal and Sidi Lemine, followed by a panel discussion which I moderated, with Simon Shaw, Tom Woodnut and Paul Kingsley-Smith.  Some of my takeaways:

  • Daniel talked about ways AI can be used so we can do our work better and more efficiently.  He uses Chat GPT to help with screener development, with ideas for discussion guides, and to summarize responses, and Adobe Firefly to create images for proposals and reports.
  • Sidi talked about using AI tools to recognize emotions in research participants and how they’re surprisingly accurate across cultures.  While a smile or a frown may mean different things in different cultures, it turns out micro-expressions are remarkably consistent throughout the world.  Specifically, Sidi said he likes the following tools: Phebi.ai, Emozo, Immersion.
  • While there are many great ways AI can help us in our work, our panel participants focused on what AI can’t do, and why we researchers are still needed.  One example: in a recent focus group project, participants all said they liked one of three concepts best, but I realized that was because it was the shortest concept, not because of the content of the concept.  If we had relied on AI to conduct the research, it would have taken those responses at face value and not probed further.  Simon said that we qualitative researchers are too humble and don’t do enough to explain the value we bring.  I agree!

Those are just some of the highlights.  The Worldwide Conference reminded me of how important it is for us to keep learning and adding to our skills.  The next opportunity is coming up soon: QRCA’s annual conference will take place in Denver, January 22-25, 2024.  I recommend it!  Register here: https://www.qrca.org/event/2024-annual-conference .

How can we add value to your next research project?  Email me at info at bureauwest.com and let’s discuss!

Sources: QRCA 2023 Worldwide Qualitative Research Conference: “A Hybrid Future: Exploring Human Interactions On- and Off-line,” Lucy Foylan; “Navigating Qual in the Age of AI,” Daniel Berkal; “Can Emotion AI Remove Bias in Global Research?,” Sidi Lemine; “What AI Can – And Can’t – Do For Qual,” Jay Zaltzman, Simon Shaw, Paul Kingsley-Smith, Tom Woodnut

Posted on by Jay Zaltzman

Consumers planning to spend less

We’ve all heard about the pent-up demand that has led to increased spending lately and which is a major factor in the inflation we’re experiencing currently.  That increased spending has been particularly noticeable in the travel category.  Flights have been full and prices for transportation and accommodations have risen sharply.

In recent focus groups about travel, we asked frequent travelers if they intend to continue the increased pace of travel.  The answer was a resounding “no.”  Almost all participants had postponed travel plans during the pandemic and finally made those trips this year.  Now that those trips have been made, they are planning to go back to their normal travel frequency.

In other research, we’ve been talking to consumers about inflation and the impact on their spending.  While many talked about accepting higher prices and adding higher tips during the pandemic, now consumers are being more careful and looking to spend less.  My own personal experience: I was going to order a pizza online from a local restaurant, which I planned to pick up myself, until I noticed they added a “pickup fee.”  For me, that just crossed a line, and I decided to order somewhere else.  A few weeks later, I ordered from that restaurant again, and the pickup fee had disappeared.

What does this mean for marketers?  It may be time to return to emphasizing value and offering promotional deals.  Let’s find out how your customers feel about spending.  Email me at info at bureauwest.com.

Source: Bureau West research

Posted on by Jay Zaltzman